This upcoming weekend in the NFL playoffs, Seattle is favored to beat Carolina by 11 points, and the over/under for the…
Stat pundit rankings: 2014 NFL win over/unders
We are back for another edition of the stat pundit rankings, where we rank the accuracy of different predictions for team wins…
Fun examples of round number bias
Yesterday was a comparatively big day for round number bias. If you are unfamiliar with this idea, Economist’s View describes round number…
An NHL shootout lasted 20 rounds. How improbable was it
Tonight’s Panthers/Capitals game lasted an improbable 20 rounds, with the teams recording the following round by round outcomes (X for…
Voter bias, football polls, and TCU
One of the topics undersold during the arguments of which four NCAA football teams deserved a spot in the college football…
Building an NCAA men’s basketball prediction model
Last Spring, Loyola University Chicago statistics professor Greg Matthews and I won the March Machine Learning Mania contest run by Kaggle, which…
Estimating causal effects with ordinal exposures
Just passing along a quick note from the world of academia; I, along with my adviser from Brown, Dr. Roee…
NHL game outcomes using R and Hockey Reference
I’m always impressed with the contest and accessibility of the Baseball with R website (here), which features a great cast…
A snapshot of math, computer science, and statistics enrollments at a liberal arts institution
Like it probably did at many institutions, student registration opened this past week for the Spring semester at Skidmore College.…
Analyzing the Super Contest, Part II
A few months ago, I wrote about how looking at the Westgate Hotel’s Super Contest, in which contestants pony up…
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