A generalized linear mixed model approach to estimating fumble frequencies in the National Football League

I told myself I was done with with Deflategate – and really, I was – that is, until I read … More

Everyone asked for Tebow. So, here he is

My recent article for FiveThirtyEight on QBR segmentation using density curves apparently had one big missing component, and his name is Tim … More

A few months ago, my friend & writer Noah Davis asked me a question that was bothering him. I’ll paraphrase, but this … More

In the wake of Sunday’s disappointing effort against Indianapolis, several scribes were quick to the task to either (i) degrade … More

This upcoming weekend in the NFL playoffs, Seattle is favored to beat Carolina by 11 points, and the over/under for the … More

We are back for another edition of the stat pundit rankings, where we rank the accuracy of different predictions for team wins … More

In his bi-annual mailbag, ESPN’s Bill Simmons takes a sarcastic tone to the NFL, advocating that the NBA should exploit … More