We are back for another edition of the stat pundit rankings, where we rank the accuracy of different predictions for team wins … More
Month: December 2014
Fun examples of round number bias
Yesterday was a comparatively big day for round number bias. If you are unfamiliar with this idea, Economist’s View describes round number … More
An NHL shootout lasted 20 rounds. How improbable was it
Tonight’s Panthers/Capitals game lasted an improbable 20 rounds, with the teams recording the following round by round outcomes (X for … More
Voter bias, football polls, and TCU
One of the topics undersold during the arguments of which four NCAA football teams deserved a spot in the college football … More
Building an NCAA men’s basketball prediction model
Last Spring, Loyola University Chicago statistics professor Greg Matthews and I won the March Machine Learning Mania contest run by Kaggle, which … More
Estimating causal effects with ordinal exposures
Just passing along a quick note from the world of academia; I, along with my adviser from Brown, Dr. Roee … More
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