Note: This piece was written with Noah Davis, and stemmed from a survey we put together roughly a year ago. … More
Month: January 2017
On the ideas that people refuse to test
In the middle of Ben Lindbergh and Sam Miller’s book “The only rule is it has to work,” which highlights the … More
Matching to estimate the causal effects of firing an NFL coach
Note: This post is a bit longer than usual. It’s part tutorial and part analysis. Feel free to jump to the … More
Maximizing expected value != maximizing win probability
Note: This is a guest post by Juho Jokinen. Lately, there has been some discussion about choosing between the extra … More