This upcoming weekend in the NFL playoffs, Seattle is favored to beat Carolina by 11 points, and the over/under for the … More
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Stat pundit rankings: 2014 NFL win over/unders
We are back for another edition of the stat pundit rankings, where we rank the accuracy of different predictions for team wins … More
Fun examples of round number bias
Yesterday was a comparatively big day for round number bias. If you are unfamiliar with this idea, Economist’s View describes round number … More
An NHL shootout lasted 20 rounds. How improbable was it
Tonight’s Panthers/Capitals game lasted an improbable 20 rounds, with the teams recording the following round by round outcomes (X for … More
Voter bias, football polls, and TCU
One of the topics undersold during the arguments of which four NCAA football teams deserved a spot in the college football … More
Building an NCAA men’s basketball prediction model
Last Spring, Loyola University Chicago statistics professor Greg Matthews and I won the March Machine Learning Mania contest run by Kaggle, which … More
Estimating causal effects with ordinal exposures
Just passing along a quick note from the world of academia; I, along with my adviser from Brown, Dr. Roee … More
NHL game outcomes using R and Hockey Reference
I’m always impressed with the contest and accessibility of the Baseball with R website (here), which features a great cast … More
A snapshot of math, computer science, and statistics enrollments at a liberal arts institution
Like it probably did at many institutions, student registration opened this past week for the Spring semester at Skidmore College. … More
Analyzing the Super Contest, Part II
A few months ago, I wrote about how looking at the Westgate Hotel’s Super Contest, in which contestants pony up … More
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