With interest in statistical applications to sports creeping from the blogosphere to the mainstream, more writers than ever are interested in metrics…
JSM 2015
There’s a fun session at JSM 2015 on referee decision making in sports, held Wednesday at 10:30. I’m presenting some…
One soccer ref makes every judgement decision. Is that absurd?
In last night’s Gold Cup semi-final between Mexico and Panama, Mexico escaped with a 2-1 extra-time victory. Like many recent CONCACAF…
MLB win percentage versus salary – a follow up
Noah and I had heard and read a bunch of discussion about the rise of small budget teams in baseball. When we…
Thoughts on the Sloan research paper contest
Folks who have submitted abstracts over the past two years to the Sloan Sports Analytics Conference research paper contest were…
Two reasons the future two-point conversion rate might be higher than current estimations
The NFL recently updated its extra point rules, moving the yard line for extra points from the 2 to the…
85% is a unicorn – on predictions in the National Hockey League postseason
On February 20, the National Hockey League announced a partnership with software company SAP. The alliance’s primary purpose was to…
Penalties and the NHL
Noah and I wrote an article about penalty patterns in the NHL. It’s over on FiveThirtyEight – many thanks to the folks…
A generalized linear mixed model approach to estimating fumble frequencies in the National Football League
I told myself I was done with with Deflategate – and really, I was – that is, until I read…
NBA win totals, 2014-15 edition
We’re back again to judge preseason predictions, this time looking at NBA prognosticators. Our outcome of interest is the number…
