If you’ve clicked on a sports website in the past week, you’ve probably read an article about a bettor in line … More
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Measuring responses to incentives in the National Hockey League using in-game behavioral modifications
When the NHL changed its point system (PS) after each of the 1999 and 2004 seasons, initially adding a point for overtime … More
NCAA hoops & circadian rhythms
One of my favorite NFL studies (Smith et al, 1996, with several follow-ups) looks at the results of night contests in … More
March Madness bracket advice, adjusted for 2015
It’s that time of year again, and while you can go to just about any media outlet for March Madness … More
Memo to the NHL: Shootouts are still a problem
Last offseason, officials from the National Hockey League met to discuss possible ways to limit the number of contests decided by … More
Sunday is a day for relaxing. Just ask the NHL
A few weeks back, folks in the Harvard Sports Analysis Collective (HSAC) looked at the shooting rates of NBA players … More
Here’s what I did on the first day of statistics class
Ample literature has gone into what teachers should do on the first day of class. Should they do an ice-breaker? Dive … More
Everyone asked for Tebow. So, here he is
My recent article for FiveThirtyEight on QBR segmentation using density curves apparently had one big missing component, and his name is Tim … More
Going beyond the mean to analyze QB performance
A few months ago, my friend & writer Noah Davis asked me a question that was bothering him. I’ll paraphrase, but this … More
Peyton Manning and the postseason
In the wake of Sunday’s disappointing effort against Indianapolis, several scribes were quick to the task to either (i) degrade … More
