My recent article for FiveThirtyEight on QBR segmentation using density curves apparently had one big missing component, and his name is Tim Tebow.
After receiving multiple tweets, Facebook comments, and emails, each of which asked where Tebow was, I figured I should give the people what they want.
Tebow has 15 games to his name, and while that’s not a great sample size to learn much about, here are the QB’s with the most similar distributional curves to Tebow: Dan Orlovsky & Seneca Wallace.
And here’s the set of density curves for that threesome. Lots of mediocre games (QBR around 50-60) from this group, and while each QB only had a few terrible games, there were very few, if any, outstanding ones.