With interest in statistical applications to sports creeping from the blogosphere to the mainstream, more writers than ever are interested in metrics … More
Category: Uncategorized
JSM 2015
There’s a fun session at JSM 2015 on referee decision making in sports, held Wednesday at 10:30. I’m presenting some … More
One soccer ref makes every judgement decision. Is that absurd?
In last night’s Gold Cup semi-final between Mexico and Panama, Mexico escaped with a 2-1 extra-time victory. Like many recent CONCACAF … More
MLB win percentage versus salary – a follow up
Noah and I had heard and read a bunch of discussion about the rise of small budget teams in baseball. When we … More
Thoughts on the Sloan research paper contest
Folks who have submitted abstracts over the past two years to the Sloan Sports Analytics Conference research paper contest were … More
Two reasons the future two-point conversion rate might be higher than current estimations
The NFL recently updated its extra point rules, moving the yard line for extra points from the 2 to the … More
85% is a unicorn – on predictions in the National Hockey League postseason
On February 20, the National Hockey League announced a partnership with software company SAP. The alliance’s primary purpose was to … More
Penalties and the NHL
Noah and I wrote an article about penalty patterns in the NHL. It’s over on FiveThirtyEight – many thanks to the folks … More
A generalized linear mixed model approach to estimating fumble frequencies in the National Football League
I told myself I was done with with Deflategate – and really, I was – that is, until I read … More
NBA win totals, 2014-15 edition
We’re back again to judge preseason predictions, this time looking at NBA prognosticators. Our outcome of interest is the number … More
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