Over on Stats Bomb, Seth Burn has taken FiveThirtyEight’s World Cup predictions, and, using what’s called the Kelly formula, placed wagers on each … More
Category: Uncategorized
The defense will not rest…
This blog will be mostly quiet for the next month or so. My dissertation defense, titled “Causal inference for multiple … More
World Cup ages
So, the Guardian posted an interesting article with some graphs from the 2014 World Cup. Even better, linked at the bottom … More
Talent acquisition and the post-steroid era
As of yesterday, Buster Posey, Jacoby Ellsbury, and Ryan Howard were each ranked between 90th and 100th in OPS among … More
The strike zone is a unicorn
As part of SNY’s pre-game show, former MLB pitcher and current Mets analyst Bobby Ojeda answers tweets using #HeyBobbyO. Tuesday, … More
What has happened to the AL East?
I don’t know, but its bad. Here’s a graph of the 2014 total run differentials, by division, compared to scaled … More
Kagglers versus experts
Over on the Kaggle discussion board, Jeff made a few really interesting posts. In one, he compared how the approximately … More
The next step
This news is about a month old, but I hadn’t updated it on the blog. I accepted a position as … More
Do NHL teams forcing overtime fare better in the extra session?
A few days ago, I posted on momentum in hockey, finding that, on average and in tie games, a streak of … More
On NHL Game 7’s
Three NHL Game 7’s are scheduled for tonight, so I figured I’d run some Game 7 numbers. For this analysis, … More
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