Below lie my unofficial record of the performance of four prediction sites over the course of the 2012-13 NFL postseason, for both picks against the spread and over/under picks. Because picks were recorded mid-week and assessed with respect to the posted spread, they may not reflect the final decision made by each prediction site each week. That said, all had a fairly solid performance this postseason.
Accuscore: 14 wins, 6 losses
Football Outsiders: 7 wins, 4 losses (no picks made for Over/Under)
NumberFire: 12 wins, 10 losses
TeamRankings: 12 wins, 10 losses
For what its worth, there were 6 games in which all the sites agreed on a side or a total. Those best bets went a combined 4-2. The table with the picks (or a predicted total number of points) is shown below.
Round | Favorite | Dog | Our line/Total | FO | TR | NF | Ascore |
1 | Seattle | Washington | 2.5 | Seattle | Seattle by 1 | Wash by 1 | Seattle by 2 |
Baltimore | Indy | 6.5 | Indy | Bmore by 6 | Bmore by 8 | Bmore by 8 | |
Green Bay | Minny | 7.5 | Minn | GB by 8 | GB by 8 | GB by 13 | |
Houston | Cincy | 4.5 | Cincy | Hou by 5 | Hou by 4 | Hou by 4 | |
Seattle/Wash | 45.5 | 45 | 51 | 49 | |||
Baltimore/Indy | 46.5 | 45 | 44 | 44 | |||
GB/Minny | 46.5 | 45 | 46 | 50 | |||
Houston/Cincy | 43.5 | 44 | 45 | 44 | |||
2 | Atlanta | Seattle | 2.5 | Seattle | Atl by 2 | Atl by 2.5 | Atl by 0.5 |
Denver | Baltimore | 8.5 | Bmore | Den by 10 | Den by 8 | Den by 6 | |
San Fran | Green Bay | 2.5 | San Fran | SF by 3.5 | SF by 5 | GB by 0.5 | |
NE | Houston | 9.5 | Houston | NE by 10 | NE by 9 | NE by 9.5 | |
Atl/Sea | 45.5 | 44.5 | 47.5 | 48.5 | |||
Den/Bmore | 45.5 | 45 | 43 | 47 | |||
SF/GB | 45.5 | 45 | 49 | 49 | |||
NE/Houston | 47.5 | 48.5 | 47 | 52 | |||
3 | NE | Bmore | 4.5 | Bmore | NE by 11 | NE by 9 | NE by 6 |
San Fran | Atlanta | 4.5 | Atl | SF by 3.5 | Even | Even | |
SF/Atl | 48.5 | 46 | 46.5 | 51.5 | |||
NE/Bmore | 51.0 | 50 | 48 | 47.5 | |||
4 | San Fran | Baltimore | 3.5 | Bmore | SF | Bmore | Bmore |
SF/Bmore | 47.5 | 44 | 44 | 46 |